
Although I devote this blog to
foreign appraisal assignments, I find appraising in Alaska not so different
from appraising in a foreign country, due to low population, lack of data and
government, and thinly traded markets.
Alaska divides itself into
“boroughs”, analogous to counties in other states, except that some of these
boroughs, rural in nature, have no government or municipal services because
almost all of the land is owned by the U.S. government. No local services are
needed independently of what the U.S. government is already providing, which in
the Borough of Yukon-Koyokuk are mostly road maintenance. No schools or hospitals. No tax assessor. Yukon-Koyokuk is also the
largest county or county-equivalent in size in the USA, being larger than the state of Montana.
Yet its Census 2020 population was just 5343 residents.
The subject property consisted of
several hundred acres along a riverfront, a modest single-family residence and
an airstrip in a town with a census population of less than 20 residents, more
than one hundred miles from Fairbanks.
The loan applicant wanted to
contain the appraisal cost by requesting a desktop appraisal, meaning that I
appraise the property remotely using Google Earth and other photographs. This
is a service that I sometimes provide in land appraisals (usually small urban
lots) under the theory that land doesn’t change -- but sometimes it does. I search for evidence of fires or floods. In this case, the subject property abutted a
river that flooded in May 2022 due to an “ice floe jam”, a common type of flood
in northern latitudes, including the upper Mississippi River. The flood killed
fish due to the toxic contaminants in the water, including fuel oil, gasoline,
antifreeze and sewage, some of which got into local homes.
Value of off-grid living
The home was also advertised as offering
“off-grid living”. The supposedly exciting advantage of off-grid living is not
having to pay local public or private utilities (of which there are none in
this region) . The disadvantage is
having to maintain the utilities yourself or find maintenance in the wilderness.
The
home has complete solar and wind power, although solar power can be greatly
diminished during winter months at this 65-degree northern latitude, not far
south of the Arctic Circle. It is difficult to find data on the value created
by living off grid in Alaska. Living off grid may not really be cheaper. Transportation
costs to the subject property are much higher, including the necessary cost of maintaining
an air strip and clearing roads. There are potentially enormous savings on
electric bills, but batteries will eventually need to be replaced, which costs
thousands of dollars, similar to electric vehicles. While there are no water or
sewer bills, pumps will sometimes need to be replaced, also at great expense. Trash
removal will also be more difficult. At this latitude, power during the winter
can be problematic. The homeowner can chop down trees for firewood on site, but
this takes manpower and truck power. A
homeowner may be better off just buying propane, but that must be transported
in.
The
airstrip might seem like a luxury to some readers, but at this latitude, it can
be the only dependable transportation during the winter. Private air
transportation is quite common in Alaska.
What
finally killed the deal, though, was the expected marketing or “exposure time”.
When comparable sales take 5 years to sell, private lenders ask me to discount
the value to the time it would take to sell in 6 months. That results in a
nasty discount.
Yes,
I am a certified general appraiser in Alaska.