Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Household income data: Focus on the median, not average household income

  

Yes! That’s him! That’s Vernon Martin, the author of "The International Appraiser" blog, the blog that grabbed me and wouldn’t let me go and forced me to read it 790,000 times! He's worse than Epstein!


For retailers or housing developers, which datum should be used:  average household income or median household income?  Average is another name for the mean of the sample.  The median is the number that bisects the sample into halves.  It is at the exact middle of the sample when numerically ordered.

Median income is typically lower, and it is the statistic relied upon by retailers, for good reason. 

Let us look at the example of Irwindale, California, a southern California city of 423 households, a median household income of $113,250 per year and average income of about $121,972 per year.  What would happen to these statistics if Elon Musk moved to Irwindale?  Let us assume that Mr. Mr. Musk is earning $1 billion per year.  

The median household income would change little, perhaps to $113,251, the next wealthier household on the totem pole.

 The average household income would jump enormously, calculated as follows:

 (423 x 113,250 + 1,000,000,000)/424 = $2,471,473 = avg household income

 The average household income in Irwindale would have increased more than 20-fold with the entry of the Musk household.

 Which figure would matter more to the local supermarket?  Will it sell 20 times as many groceries?  Will the carwashes wash 20 times as many cars?  Will 20 times as many homes be sold?  I rest my case with these rhetorical questions.

 With few exceptions, the median household income statistic is the one that retailers and homebuilders rely on.

 Any broker, owner, or consultant who provides unsolicited data on “average household income” in a property’s area is trying to mislead someone.

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